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Research/Dow 30 ETF Theme Comparison/Dow 30Data 2026-08-13
Dow 30 ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

Dow 30 ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 7 ETFs, with average boundary fit 69.8% and average structure score 0.70.

Mainline ExpansionSECTOR PHASE

Dow 30 is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
86.0%
Breakout Share
71.0%
Average Fit
69.8%

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
7
Current snapshot
L3+
6
86.0%
Watch List
1
Middle structure
Defense Zone
0
0.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Mainline Expansion

Dow 30 is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.

Direction
86.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 71.0% · Average Fit 69.8%

Action Bias
0.63

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Cybersecurity100.0%100.0%0.9684.8%Mainline Expansion
Cloud / Software / Internet100.0%100.0%0.9478.7%Mainline Expansion
AI / Robotics100.0%89.0%0.9373.8%Mainline Expansion
Nuclear / Uranium100.0%100.0%0.9367.7%Mainline Expansion
Silver100.0%100.0%0.9367.3%Mainline Expansion
Gold Miners100.0%100.0%0.9267.3%Mainline Expansion
Physical Gold100.0%100.0%0.9265.3%Mainline Expansion
Defense / Aerospace100.0%86.0%0.8972.5%Mainline Expansion

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
86.0%
Breakout Share
71.0%
Defense
0.0%
Average Fit
69.8%
Score
63.3%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+0.9%62.5%1/7Above L4, strongest breakout confirmation
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+0.3%63.9%2/7Above L4, strongest breakout confirmation
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+1.0%62.7%3/7Above L4, strongest breakout confirmation
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+0.3%62.1%4/7Above L4, strongest breakout confirmation
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L21.1%62.9%5/7Above L3 by 0.8%, stronger group position
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…bullish-leaning zoneL2-L31.2%63.0%6/7Above L3 by 0.1%, stronger group position
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…bearish-leaning zoneL2-L35.1%63.2%7/7Currently in L2-L3, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is Dow 30 strong now?

Dow 30 is currently in Mainline Expansion; participation is 86.0% and breakout share is 71.0%.

Which Dow 30 ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

85.7%14.3%
Bullish
85.7%
6
Bearish
14.3%
1

Boundary Distribution

57.1%14.3%28.6%
L4+
57.1%
4
L1-L2
14.3%
1
L2-L3
28.6%
2

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - Dow 30 is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.
  • Evidence - Participation 86.0% · Breakout Share 71.0% · Average Fit 69.8%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+462.5%0.0%0.78
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+463.9%0.0%0.77
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+462.7%0.0%0.76
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bullish zoneL4+462.1%0.0%0.74
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2362.9%0.0%0.73
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…bullish-leaning zoneL2-L3363.0%0.0%0.69
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…bearish-leaning zoneL2-L3163.2%0.0%0.47

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 0.4%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 2.9%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 32.8

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bullish zone4L4+62.5%66.7%0.8%2.8%tentative_breakout60
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bullish zone4L4+63.9%50.0%0.8%2.9%tentative_breakout60
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFstrong bullish zone4L4+62.7%75.0%0.9%3.5%tentative_breakout60
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bullish zone4L4+62.1%66.7%0.9%3.9%tentative_breakout60
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zone3L1-L262.9%66.7%0.8%4.1%below trigger60
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…bullish-leaning zone3L2-L363.0%60.0%0.1%1.5%below trigger60
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…bearish-leaning zone1L2-L363.2%66.7%-1.1%1.4%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 4

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 16.0% / 34.8%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 64.5% · avg 30.8 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF366.7%30.033.3%33.3%66.7%lower confidence29.830.8
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF250.0%46.00.0%0.0%50.0%moderate41.035.0
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF475.0%29.725.0%50.0%75.0%moderate40.435.0
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF366.7%43.00.0%0.0%66.7%lower confidence32.936.3
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF366.7%17.533.3%66.7%66.7%moderate27.731.3
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…560.0%19.320.0%60.0%60.0%lower confidence48.234.5
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…666.7%29.80.0%33.3%66.7%moderate30.926.9

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF35.3334.8435.0635.24L4+
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF30.7130.2730.4630.64L4+
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF35.9435.3535.6235.87L4+
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF36.5535.9136.2336.53L4+
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF35.3434.7335.0735.46L1-L2
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…537.91535.25537.54542.49L2-L3
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…114.36114.50115.66118.00L2-L3

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.