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Research/Dow 30 ETF Theme Comparison/Dow 30Data 2026-07-17
Dow 30 ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

Dow 30 ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 7 ETFs, with average boundary fit 41.1% and average structure score 0.41.

Risk ReleaseSECTOR PHASE

Dow 30 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
14.0%
Breakout Share
14.0%
Average Fit
41.1%

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
7
Current snapshot
L3+
1
14.0%
Watch List
0
Middle structure
Defense Zone
6
86.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Risk Release

Dow 30 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Direction
14.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 14.0% · Average Fit 41.1%

Action Bias
0.26

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Real Estate / REIT100.0%100.0%0.7673.3%Mainline Expansion
Oil & Gas / Energy79.0%58.0%0.6766.3%Mainline Expansion
Broad Commodities90.0%50.0%0.6569.9%Mainline Expansion
Agriculture / Water Resources60.0%60.0%0.5562.4%Mainline Expansion
Financials / Banks68.0%14.0%0.4554.6%Leader-Led
Cybersecurity75.0%0.0%0.4258.2%Leader-Led
U.S. Small Cap39.0%17.0%0.3450.3%Risk Release
U.S. Mid Cap31.0%23.0%0.3246.5%Risk Release

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
14.0%
Breakout Share
14.0%
Defense
86.0%
Average Fit
41.1%
Score
25.8%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…strong bullish zoneL4+--63.2%1/7Above L4, strongest breakout confirmation
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFbearish-leaning zoneL3-L4--62.7%2/7Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…strong bearish zoneL2-L3--63.0%3/7Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L3--63.9%4/7Currently in L2-L3, useful peer benchmark
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2--62.9%5/7Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2--62.1%6/7Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2--62.5%7/7Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is Dow 30 strong now?

Dow 30 is currently in Risk Release; participation is 14.0% and breakout share is 14.0%.

Which Dow 30 ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

14.3%85.7%
Bullish
14.3%
1
Bearish
85.7%
6

Boundary Distribution

14.3%14.3%28.6%42.9%
L4+
14.3%
1
L3-L4
14.3%
1
L2-L3
28.6%
2
L1-L2
42.9%
3

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - Dow 30 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.
  • Evidence - Participation 14.0% · Breakout Share 14.0% · Average Fit 41.1%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…strong bullish zoneL4+463.2%0.0%0.78
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFbearish-leaning zoneL3-L4162.7%0.0%0.62
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…strong bearish zoneL2-L3063.0%0.0%0.45
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L3063.9%0.0%0.33
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2062.9%0.0%0.30
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2062.1%0.0%0.29
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2062.5%0.0%0.28

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 -1.3%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 0.3%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 32.8

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…strong bullish zone4L4+63.2%66.7%1.3%3.7%confirmed_breakout60
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETFbearish-leaning zone1L3-L462.7%75.0%-1.4%0.4%below trigger60
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…strong bearish zone0L2-L363.0%50.0%-1.0%-0.1%below trigger60
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETFstrong bearish zone0L2-L363.9%50.0%-1.3%-0.1%below trigger60
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETFstrong bearish zone0L1-L262.9%66.7%-2.6%-0.5%below trigger60
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETFstrong bearish zone0L1-L262.1%66.7%-2.4%-0.6%below trigger60
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETFstrong bearish zone0L1-L262.5%66.7%-1.7%-0.4%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 4

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 13.1% / 33.3%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 63.1% · avg 31.2 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…666.7%29.80.0%33.3%66.7%moderate30.926.9
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF475.0%27.325.0%50.0%75.0%moderate40.435.0
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…450.0%24.50.0%50.0%50.0%lower confidence48.234.5
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF250.0%46.00.0%0.0%50.0%moderate41.035.0
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF366.7%17.533.3%66.7%66.7%moderate27.731.3
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF366.7%43.00.0%0.0%66.7%lower confidence32.936.3
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF366.7%30.033.3%33.3%66.7%lower confidence29.830.8

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
RWRState Street SPDR Dow Jones REIT…117.61115.05116.15116.95L4+
SCHGSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF34.1834.3334.6735.20L3-L4
DIAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Indus…520.81523.48526.29530.63L2-L3
SCHXSchwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF29.3129.4929.7130.06L2-L3
SCHASchwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF34.0534.5334.9535.60L1-L2
SCHMSchwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF34.9935.4735.8736.47L1-L2
SCHVSchwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF33.8134.1334.3834.77L1-L2

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.