SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF Analysis: bearish-leaning zone at Close 34.18 | aeoae
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth (SCHG) bearish-leaning zone at close 34.18, 63% structure confidence. L1-L4 levels, trend signals, and 60-day backtest data — all updated daily for independent analysis.
Date: 2026-07-17 00:00:00
Close: 34.18
Trend structure: bearish-leaning zone
Next-session four-line locked levels
L1 (defense baseline): 34.042
L2 (weak-to-strong confirmation): 34.329
L3 (strong zone confirmation): 34.673
L4 (upside target zone): 35.205
Close is above 1 L-line(s).
Boundary accuracy (structure quality): 62.68%
Confidence tier: moderately high confidence
Four-line confidence hub
Composite score: 0.41
Support hit rate: 33.1%
Resistance hit rate: 35.7%
Rating stability: 28.9%
Range accuracy: 41%
Peer group ranking
Dow Jones Industrial Average rank: 14/19 (below peer average)
Top 3 in group: SCHA, SCHM, BTAL
Phase target tracking
L4 upside target touch rate
Next 15d: 25%
Next 30d: 50%
Next 60d: 75%
Next 120d: 75%
Rating stability: moderate (37.8%)
Boundary accuracy breakdown
recent boundary alignment: 11.4 pts
relative advantage: 14.74 pts
historical depth: 20 pts
stability: 5.67 pts
current structure strength: 3.99 pts
Trend Analysis
Main judgment: The 24D and 12D backdrop is still up, but the latest 6D pace has cooled. The tape is still in a repair phase; confirmation is not complete yet. Price is still in the L1/L2 repair area, so capital is only probing back in. This is a direct multi-line drop, so the intermediate support steps were not completed in order and the move reads as a fast weakening. Structure moved from L3-L4 support zone to L1-L2 probe zone. This is a direct multi-line drop, so the structure has gapped lower and the intermediate support steps were not completed in order. Holding L1 (34.042) keeps repair alive; a close above L2 (34.329) is needed before leaning to attention; if closes fall back below L1, the repair attempt fails, leaning to cash / wait. Key watch: the weak zone is showing a real early repair clue - close vs L1 is 0.4%, close position 58.5%, and volume --x baseline. This is not trend confirmation yet, but it is important enough to track as a possible repair start; L1/L2 follow-through is the confirmation line. Boundary warning: close is only 0.4% from L2 (34.329), so the upgrade confirmation needs a sustained hold above it, not a single touch. close is only 0.4% from L1 (34.042), so the retreat risk is elevated; a clean break below it would confirm weakening. L-line trajectory: All four lines are moving up in sync, structure advancing toward strength. Jump type: tight-line pseudo-jump. Evidence 1: The direct multi-line drop shows the intermediate support steps were not completed in order, Key levels: close 34.18, L3 34.673 (-1.4%). Evidence 2: Until the key L-lines are reclaimed, this should be treated as a fast weakening move, Behavior check: width -8.4%. Action bias: cash / wait.
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