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Research/Physical Gold ETF Theme Comparison/Physical GoldData 2026-08-13
Physical Gold ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

Physical Gold ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 8 ETFs, with average boundary fit 65.3% and average structure score 0.65.

Mainline ExpansionSECTOR PHASE

Physical Gold is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
100.0%
Breakout Share
100.0%
Average Fit
65.3%

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
8
Current snapshot
L3+
8
100.0%
Watch List
0
Middle structure
Defense Zone
0
0.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Mainline Expansion

Physical Gold is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.

Direction
100.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 100.0% · Average Fit 65.3%

Action Bias
0.92

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Cybersecurity100.0%100.0%0.9684.8%Mainline Expansion
Cloud / Software / Internet100.0%100.0%0.9478.7%Mainline Expansion
AI / Robotics100.0%89.0%0.9373.8%Mainline Expansion
Nuclear / Uranium100.0%100.0%0.9367.7%Mainline Expansion
Silver100.0%100.0%0.9367.3%Mainline Expansion
Gold Miners100.0%100.0%0.9267.3%Mainline Expansion
Physical Gold100.0%100.0%0.9265.3%Mainline Expansion
Defense / Aerospace100.0%86.0%0.8972.5%Mainline Expansion

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
100.0%
Breakout Share
100.0%
Defense
0.0%
Average Fit
65.3%
Score
91.5%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L24.7%61.3%1/8Above L3 by 0.5%, stronger group position
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.5%61.6%2/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
IAUiShares Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.5%61.7%3/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.6%61.2%4/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.6%61.2%5/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.6%61.0%6/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.5%61.5%7/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L25.6%61.6%8/8Above L3 by 0.4%, stronger group position

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is Physical Gold strong now?

Physical Gold is currently in Mainline Expansion; participation is 100.0% and breakout share is 100.0%.

Which Physical Gold ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

100.0%
Bullish
100.0%
8

Boundary Distribution

100.0%
L1-L2
100.0%
8

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - Physical Gold is still one of the strongest groups, but it is already extended above L4 across many members, so read it as profit-taking and pullback management first.
  • Evidence - Participation 100.0% · Breakout Share 100.0% · Average Fit 65.3%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.3%0.0%0.76
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.6%0.0%0.75
IAUiShares Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.7%0.0%0.75
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.2%0.0%0.75
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.2%0.0%0.75
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.0%0.0%0.75
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.5%0.0%0.75
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbullish-leaning zoneL1-L2361.6%0.0%0.75

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 0.4%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 4.4%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 25.7

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.3%66.7%0.5%4.6%below trigger60
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.6%100.0%0.4%4.4%below trigger60
IAUiShares Gold Trustbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.7%100.0%0.4%4.4%below trigger60
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.2%100.0%0.4%4.4%below trigger60
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.2%100.0%0.4%4.4%below trigger60
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.0%100.0%0.4%4.3%below trigger60
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.5%100.0%0.4%4.3%below trigger60
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbullish-leaning zone3L1-L261.6%100.0%0.4%4.3%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 2

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 0.0% / 0.0%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 95.8% · avg 46.3 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trust366.7%45.50.0%0.0%66.7%moderate21.424.7
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF2100.0%43.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.025.4
IAUiShares Gold Trust2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate25.125.6
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniShares2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.226.4
GLDSPDR Gold Shares2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate24.927.0
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trust2100.0%44.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate24.226.2
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Micro2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.525.0
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF2100.0%56.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate22.625.1

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trust33.0032.4232.8333.48L1-L2
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF42.8942.1842.7143.58L1-L2
IAUiShares Gold Trust81.7880.4581.4483.13L1-L2
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniShares86.0584.6585.7087.49L1-L2
GLDSPDR Gold Shares398.96392.50397.38405.74L1-L2
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trust41.7941.1241.6342.52L1-L2
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Micro43.3342.6443.1744.10L1-L2
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF41.4040.7441.2542.13L1-L2

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.