Beware of impersonation and scams. Verify official domains before acting.
Research/Physical Gold ETF Theme Comparison/Physical GoldData 2026-07-17
Physical Gold ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

Physical Gold ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 8 ETFs, with average boundary fit 41.6% and average structure score 0.42.

Risk ReleaseSECTOR PHASE

Physical Gold still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Average Fit
41.6%

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
8
Current snapshot
L3+
0
0.0%
Watch List
0
Middle structure
Defense Zone
8
100.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Risk Release

Physical Gold still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Direction
0.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 41.6%

Action Bias
0.11

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Real Estate / REIT100.0%100.0%0.7673.3%Mainline Expansion
Oil & Gas / Energy79.0%58.0%0.6766.3%Mainline Expansion
Broad Commodities90.0%50.0%0.6569.9%Mainline Expansion
Agriculture / Water Resources60.0%60.0%0.5562.4%Mainline Expansion
Financials / Banks68.0%14.0%0.4554.6%Leader-Led
Cybersecurity75.0%0.0%0.4258.2%Leader-Led
U.S. Small Cap39.0%17.0%0.3450.3%Risk Release
U.S. Mid Cap31.0%23.0%0.3246.5%Risk Release

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Defense
100.0%
Average Fit
41.6%
Score
10.5%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.3%1/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.0%2/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.2%3/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.6%4/8Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.2%5/8Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
IAUiShares Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.7%6/8Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.6%7/8Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2--61.5%8/8Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is Physical Gold strong now?

Physical Gold is currently in Risk Release; participation is 0.0% and breakout share is 0.0%.

Which Physical Gold ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

100.0%
Bearish
100.0%
8

Boundary Distribution

100.0%
L1-L2
100.0%
8

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - Physical Gold still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.
  • Evidence - Participation 0.0% · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 41.6%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.3%0.0%0.31
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.0%0.0%0.31
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.2%0.0%0.30
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.6%0.0%0.30
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.2%0.0%0.30
IAUiShares Gold Trustbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.7%0.0%0.30
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.6%0.0%0.30
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbearish-leaning zoneL1-L2161.5%0.0%0.30

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 -2.3%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 0.2%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 25.7

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trustbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.3%66.7%-2.2%0.4%below trigger60
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trustbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.0%100.0%-2.3%0.2%below trigger60
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniSharesbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.2%100.0%-2.3%0.2%below trigger60
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETFbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.6%100.0%-2.3%0.2%below trigger60
GLDSPDR Gold Sharesbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.2%100.0%-2.3%0.2%below trigger60
IAUiShares Gold Trustbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.7%100.0%-2.3%0.2%below trigger60
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETFbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.6%100.0%-2.3%0.1%below trigger60
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Microbearish-leaning zone1L1-L261.5%100.0%-2.3%0.1%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 2

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 0.0% / 0.0%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 95.8% · avg 46.3 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trust366.7%45.50.0%0.0%66.7%moderate21.424.7
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trust2100.0%44.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate24.226.2
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniShares2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.226.4
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF2100.0%43.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.025.4
GLDSPDR Gold Shares2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate24.927.0
IAUiShares Gold Trust2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate25.125.6
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF2100.0%56.00.0%0.0%100.0%moderate22.625.1
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Micro2100.0%45.50.0%0.0%100.0%moderate23.525.0

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
PHYSSprott Physical Gold Trust30.3130.5430.9931.68L1-L2
OUNZVanEck Merk Gold Trust38.6038.9439.5140.39L1-L2
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniShares79.4580.1481.3083.08L1-L2
AAAUGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF39.5939.9340.5141.40L1-L2
GLDSPDR Gold Shares368.41371.67377.10385.50L1-L2
IAUiShares Gold Trust75.5076.1777.2778.97L1-L2
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF38.2238.5639.1239.98L1-L2
IAUMiShares Gold Trust Micro40.0040.3640.9441.83L1-L2

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.