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Research/U.S. Core Bonds ETF Theme Comparison/U.S. Core BondsData 2026-07-14
U.S. Core Bonds ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

U.S. Core Bonds ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 32 ETFs, with average boundary fit 36.3% and average structure score 0.36.

Risk ReleaseSECTOR PHASE

U.S. Core Bonds still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Average Fit
36.3%

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
32
Current snapshot
L3+
0
0.0%
Watch List
0
Middle structure
Defense Zone
32
100.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Risk Release

U.S. Core Bonds still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Direction
0.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 36.3%

Action Bias
0.09

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Cybersecurity100.0%100.0%0.9474.3%Mainline Expansion
Broad Commodities90.0%30.0%0.6075.2%Mainline Expansion
Oil & Gas / Energy92.0%29.0%0.5868.0%Mainline Expansion
Cloud / Software / Internet83.0%33.0%0.5658.9%Mainline Expansion
Utilities100.0%0.0%0.5058.3%Leader-Led
Agriculture / Water Resources60.0%60.0%0.5062.5%Mainline Expansion
Russell 100083.0%17.0%0.4958.2%Leader-Led
Financials / Banks64.0%32.0%0.4758.1%Mainline Expansion

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Defense
100.0%
Average Fit
36.3%
Score
9.4%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
DFCFDimensional Core Fixed Income ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---36.9%1/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
SPABState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---36.3%2/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
TAGGT. Rowe Price QM U.S. Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---36.9%3/8Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
CGCBCapital Group Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---32.6%4/8Currently in L1-, useful peer benchmark
HTRBHartford Total Return Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---36.8%5/8Currently in L1-, useful peer benchmark
VCRBVanguard Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1---31.3%6/8Currently in L1-, useful peer benchmark
UITBVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETFstrong bearish structureL1---48.2%7/8Currently in L1-, useful peer benchmark
SMTHALPS Smith Core Plus Bond ETFstrong bearish structureL1---47.5%8/8Currently in L1-, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is U.S. Core Bonds strong now?

U.S. Core Bonds is currently in Risk Release; participation is 0.0% and breakout share is 0.0%.

Which U.S. Core Bonds ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

100.0%
Bearish
100.0%
8

Boundary Distribution

100.0%
L1-
100.0%
8

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - U.S. Core Bonds still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.
  • Evidence - Participation 0.0% · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 36.3%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison Matrix

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
DFCFDimensional Core Fixed Income ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-136.9%0.0%0.33
SPABState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-136.3%0.0%0.33
TAGGT. Rowe Price QM U.S. Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-136.9%0.0%0.33
CGCBCapital Group Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-132.6%0.0%0.33
HTRBHartford Total Return Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-136.8%0.0%0.32
VCRBVanguard Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structureL1-131.3%0.0%0.30
UITBVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETFstrong bearish structureL1-048.2%0.0%0.29
SMTHALPS Smith Core Plus Bond ETFstrong bearish structureL1-047.5%0.0%0.29

1212-D Reading Frame

Read position, buffer and fit layers before the full table.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 -0.5%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 0.1%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 39.5

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
DFCFDimensional Core Fixed Income ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-36.9%---0.6%0.1%below trigger60
SPABState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-36.3%---0.4%0.1%below trigger60
TAGGT. Rowe Price QM U.S. Bond ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-36.9%---0.4%0.0%below trigger60
CGCBCapital Group Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-32.6%---0.4%0.1%below trigger60
HTRBHartford Total Return Bond ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-36.8%---0.4%0.2%below trigger60
VCRBVanguard Core Bond ETFbearish-leaning structure1L1-31.3%---0.3%0.2%below trigger60
UITBVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETFstrong bearish structure0L1-48.2%---0.4%-0.0%below trigger60
SMTHALPS Smith Core Plus Bond ETFstrong bearish structure0L1-47.5%---0.7%-0.0%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 6

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D -- / --

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D -- · avg -- days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
DFCFDimensional Core Fixed Income ETF6----------lower confidence39.841.1
SPABState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETF6----------moderate39.239.3
TAGGT. Rowe Price QM U.S. Bond ETF6----------lower confidence36.238.0
CGCBCapital Group Core Bond ETF6----------lower confidence34.139.6
HTRBHartford Total Return Bond ETF6----------lower confidence44.042.3
VCRBVanguard Core Bond ETF6----------lower confidence42.240.4
UITBVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF6----------lower confidence34.737.2
SMTHALPS Smith Core Plus Bond ETF6----------lower confidence42.138.3

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
DFCFDimensional Core Fixed Income ETF41.9342.0342.1842.55L1-
SPABState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETF25.3425.3725.4325.59L1-
TAGGT. Rowe Price QM U.S. Bond ETF42.2442.3142.4242.70L1-
CGCBCapital Group Core Bond ETF26.0526.0926.1626.34L1-
HTRBHartford Total Return Bond ETF33.5733.6033.7033.94L1-
VCRBVanguard Core Bond ETF76.7176.7876.9777.46L1-
UITBVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF46.4846.5546.6746.99L1-
SMTHALPS Smith Core Plus Bond ETF25.5525.6425.7425.98L1-

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.