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Research/S&P 500 ETF Theme Comparison/S&P 500Data 2026-09-02
S&P 500 ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

S&P 500 ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 34 ETFs, with average boundary fit 44.9% and average structure score 0.45.

Risk ReleaseSECTOR PHASE

S&P 500 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
12.0%
Breakout Share
6.0%
Average Fit
44.9%

RACETheme Race

ETF cumulative returns over 60 days.
RACE · 60D--
--

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
34
Current snapshot
L3+
4
12.0%
Watch List
16
Middle structure
Defense Zone
14
41.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Risk Release

S&P 500 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Direction
12.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 6.0% · Average Fit 44.9%

Action Bias
0.21

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Broad Commodities90.0%90.0%0.8774.7%Mainline Expansion
Oil & Gas / Energy92.0%88.0%0.8472.9%Mainline Expansion
Biotech / Genomics75.0%50.0%0.6158.6%Mainline Expansion
Emerging Markets81.0%48.0%0.5764.5%Mainline Expansion
Agriculture / Water Resources60.0%60.0%0.5658.3%Mainline Expansion
Health Care Composite82.0%27.0%0.5457.9%Leader-Led
India100.0%0.0%0.5160.7%Leader-Led
Greater China50.0%20.0%0.4349.7%Leader-Led

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
12.0%
Breakout Share
6.0%
Defense
41.0%
Average Fit
44.9%
Score
21.4%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
RPVInvesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L41.2%67.8%1/9Above L3 by 0.2%, stronger group position
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L40.8%63.3%2/9Above L3 by 0.1%, stronger group position
TOPTiShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L41.3%63.2%3/9Above L3 by 0.1%, stronger group position
RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETFneutral zoneL3-L42.2%66.3%4/9Boundary fit 66.3%, stronger review quality
XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETFneutral zoneL2-L32.6%62.8%5/9Currently in L2-L3, useful peer benchmark
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core…neutral zoneL3-L42.2%61.7%6/9Currently in L3-L4, useful peer benchmark
SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L33.6%62.9%7/9Currently in L2-L3, useful peer benchmark
PTLInspire 500 ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L34.8%62.2%8/9Currently in L2-L3, useful peer benchmark
RPGInvesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L28.1%64.0%9/9Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is S&P 500 strong now?

S&P 500 is currently in Risk Release; participation is 12.0% and breakout share is 6.0%.

Which S&P 500 ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

33.3%33.3%33.3%
Bearish
33.3%
3
Neutral
33.3%
3
Bullish
33.3%
3

Boundary Distribution

55.6%33.3%11.1%
L3-L4
55.6%
5
L2-L3
33.3%
3
L1-L2
11.1%
1

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - S&P 500 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.
  • Evidence - Participation 12.0% · Breakout Share 6.0% · Average Fit 44.9%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
RPVInvesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L4367.8%0.0%0.69
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L4363.3%0.0%0.68
TOPTiShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETFbullish-leaning zoneL3-L4363.2%0.0%0.67
RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETFneutral zoneL3-L4266.3%0.0%0.65
XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETFneutral zoneL2-L3262.8%0.0%0.52
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core…neutral zoneL3-L4261.7%0.0%0.51
SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L3062.9%0.0%0.28
PTLInspire 500 ETFstrong bearish zoneL2-L3062.2%0.0%0.26
RPGInvesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2064.0%0.0%0.26

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 -0.7%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 0.8%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 33.1

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
RPVInvesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETFbullish-leaning zone3L3-L467.8%83.3%0.2%2.2%below trigger60
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETFbullish-leaning zone3L3-L463.3%33.3%0.1%1.3%below trigger60
TOPTiShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETFbullish-leaning zone3L3-L463.2%66.7%0.1%1.8%below trigger60
RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETFneutral zone2L3-L466.3%66.7%-0.2%1.3%below trigger60
XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETFneutral zone2L2-L362.8%50.0%-0.2%1.2%below trigger60
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core…neutral zone2L3-L461.7%75.0%-0.4%0.9%below trigger60
SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETFstrong bearish zone0L2-L362.9%25.0%-1.2%-0.2%below trigger60
PTLInspire 500 ETFstrong bearish zone0L2-L362.2%60.0%-2.0%-0.5%below trigger60
RPGInvesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETFstrong bearish zone0L1-L264.0%60.0%-3.1%-0.7%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 4

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 27.6% / 41.7%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 57.8% · avg 20.6 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
RPVInvesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF683.3%20.433.3%66.7%83.3%moderate30.335.3
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF333.3%5.033.3%33.3%33.3%moderate36.334.1
TOPTiShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETF366.7%31.033.3%33.3%66.7%moderate39.735.1
RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF366.7%17.033.3%66.7%66.7%moderate37.237.5
XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF250.0%6.050.0%50.0%50.0%moderate39.338.9
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core…475.0%29.025.0%25.0%75.0%moderate33.631.4
SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF425.0%35.00.0%0.0%25.0%moderate26.230.8
PTLInspire 500 ETF560.0%14.720.0%60.0%60.0%moderate38.628.5
RPGInvesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF560.0%27.320.0%40.0%60.0%moderate17.526.6

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
RPVInvesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF122.88121.93122.66124.02L3-L4
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF76.5076.1176.4076.93L3-L4
TOPTiShares Top 20 U.S. Stocks ETF33.7733.5533.7234.04L3-L4
RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF134.55134.14134.80136.14L3-L4
XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF62.5362.3762.6663.26L2-L3
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core…43.6443.6043.8044.20L3-L4
SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF74.6675.1775.5976.43L2-L3
PTLInspire 500 ETF279.18282.54284.87290.16L2-L3
RPGInvesco S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF56.2757.3158.0659.56L1-L2

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.