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Research/NASDAQ 100 ETF Theme Comparison/NASDAQ 100Data 2026-09-02
NASDAQ 100 ETF Theme Comparison - aeoae

NASDAQ 100 ETF Overview

This group currently tracks 6 ETFs, with average boundary fit 35.8% and average structure score 0.36.

Risk ReleaseSECTOR PHASE

NASDAQ 100 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Use this page as a filter, then verify single-ETF detail pages.

Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Average Fit
35.8%

RACETheme Race

ETF cumulative returns over 60 days.
RACE · 60D--
--

01Group Overview

Start with size, participation, breakout depth and current fit.
Tracked ETFs
6
Current snapshot
L3+
0
0.0%
Watch List
0
Middle structure
Defense Zone
6
100.0%

02Group Conclusion

Conclusion first, evidence second, ETF data third.
Main Trend
Risk Release

NASDAQ 100 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.

Direction
0.0%

Participation · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 35.8%

Action Bias
0.11

Start with higher-ranked ETFs, then verify boundary details.

03Peer Group Comparison

Compare adjacent groups on one scale.
GroupParticipationBreakoutTrend ScoreStructure FitStage
Broad Commodities90.0%90.0%0.8774.7%Mainline Expansion
Oil & Gas / Energy92.0%88.0%0.8472.9%Mainline Expansion
Biotech / Genomics75.0%50.0%0.6158.6%Mainline Expansion
Emerging Markets81.0%48.0%0.5764.5%Mainline Expansion
Agriculture / Water Resources60.0%60.0%0.5658.3%Mainline Expansion
Health Care Composite82.0%27.0%0.5457.9%Leader-Led
India100.0%0.0%0.5160.7%Leader-Led
Greater China50.0%20.0%0.4349.7%Leader-Led

04ETF Ranking and Selection

Answer which ETF deserves attention first.
1
First Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equal Weight ETF QQEW
Trend
strong bearish zone
Stage
L1-L2
Score
0.44
Historical Fit62.4%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->
2
Invesco QQQ Trust QQQ
Trend
bearish-leaning zone
Stage
L2-L3
Score
0.33
Historical Fit63.5%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->
3
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF QQQM
Trend
bearish-leaning zone
Stage
L2-L3
Score
0.33
Historical Fit63.3%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->
4
Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF QQQJ
Trend
strong bearish zone
Stage
L1-L2
Score
0.31
Historical Fit63.0%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->
5
First Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology Sector Index Fund QTEC
Trend
strong bearish zone
Stage
L1-L2
Score
0.29
Historical Fit63.6%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->
6
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares QQQE
Trend
strong bearish zone
Stage
L1-L2
Score
0.29
Historical Fit62.2%
Ranking uses structure score, boundary position, current fit and relative strength.
Open detail ->

05Theme Structure

Separate breadth, breakout, defense and fit.
Participation
0.0%
Breakout Share
0.0%
Defense
100.0%
Average Fit
35.8%
Score
11.3%

06ETF Comparison Module

Each ETF shows trend, stage, room, fit and ranking reason.
TickerNameTrendStageTarget RoomHistorical FitRankWhy Leading
QQEWFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equ…strong bearish zoneL1-L24.1%62.4%1/6Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
QQQInvesco QQQ Trustbearish-leaning zoneL2-L34.0%63.5%2/6Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETFbearish-leaning zoneL2-L34.0%63.3%3/6Top-three group rank, priority watch candidate
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L26.1%63.0%4/6Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology…strong bearish zoneL1-L210.5%63.6%5/6Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark
QQQEDirexion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighte…strong bearish zoneL1-L25.6%62.2%6/6Currently in L1-L2, useful peer benchmark

07ETF Lanes

Narrow the group before opening ETF details.
Leaders
First Trust Nasdaq-100 Select… bullish-leaning structure
QQEW · Watch
Invesco QQQ Trust strong bullish structure
QQQ · Watch
Watch
Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF strong bullish structure
QQQM · Watch
Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 E… bullish-leaning structure
QQQJ · Watch
Repair
First Trust NASDAQ-100-Techno… bullish-leaning structure
QTEC · Risk
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Wei… bullish-leaning structure
QQQE · Watch
Defense
No sample

08What This Page Answers

Three frequent questions with direct answers.
Is NASDAQ 100 strong now?

NASDAQ 100 is currently in Risk Release; participation is 0.0% and breakout share is 0.0%.

Which NASDAQ 100 ETF should be checked first?

Start with the first ranking card, then verify boundaries, review history and liquidity on the detail page.

What should I do next?

Open a single ETF detail page and verify Daily Review, boundary prices, holdings, liquidity and fees.

1

Read rotation first

Use the rotation radar to place this group in the broader market.

Open Rotation Radar ->
2

Then check ranking

Open the higher-ranked ETF detail first.

Open Top ETF ->
3

Cross-check peers

If the group is weak, compare peers to see where strength is moving.

Back to Research ->

09Group Distribution

Trend and boundary distribution clarify structure quickly.

Trend Distribution

100.0%
Bullish
100.0%
6

Boundary Distribution

66.7%33.3%
L1-L2
66.7%
4
L2-L3
33.3%
2

10Difference Reading

Conclusion, evidence and boundary note.
Insight
  • Conclusion - NASDAQ 100 still has a high share of weak or defensive members. Wait for that pressure to ease before treating rebounds as a full group turn.
  • Evidence - Participation 0.0% · Breakout Share 0.0% · Average Fit 35.8%
  • Boundary - Compare leaders and laggards instead of treating the whole group as one state.

11ETF Comparison

Compare on one basis instead of reading one-day moves only.
TickerNameTrendZoneLinesStructure FitReviewScore
QQEWFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equ…strong bearish zoneL1-L2062.4%0.0%0.44
QQQInvesco QQQ Trustbearish-leaning zoneL2-L3163.5%0.0%0.33
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETFbearish-leaning zoneL2-L3163.3%0.0%0.33
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETFstrong bearish zoneL1-L2063.0%0.0%0.31
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology…strong bearish zoneL1-L2063.6%0.0%0.29
QQQEDirexion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighte…strong bearish zoneL1-L2062.2%0.0%0.29

1212-Session Cross-Section Comparison

Compare each ETF over the recent 12-session cross-section by trend, boundary, fit and review state.
Position Layer
Average vs L3 -2.4%

Shows whether the group is only crossing the midline or already stretched far from L3.

Buffer Layer
Average vs L1 -0.1%

Shows how much buffer remains above L1, which helps separate repair from stability.

Fit Layer
Average Boundary60 29.3

Shows the average historical boundary review score, a quick read on evidence quality.

TickerNameTrendLinesZoneStructure FitReviewvs L3vs L1L4 StateSamples
QQEWFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equ…strong bearish zone0L1-L262.4%60.0%-2.3%-0.2%below trigger60
QQQInvesco QQQ Trustbearish-leaning zone1L2-L363.5%66.7%-1.3%0.3%below trigger60
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETFbearish-leaning zone1L2-L363.3%33.3%-1.3%0.3%below trigger60
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETFstrong bearish zone0L1-L263.0%75.0%-2.8%-0.2%below trigger60
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology…strong bearish zone0L1-L263.6%33.3%-4.7%-0.3%below trigger60
QQQEDirexion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighte…strong bearish zone0L1-L262.2%60.0%-2.3%-0.4%below trigger60

13Historical Review Frame

Combine phase-target replay, reach efficiency and boundary review in one table.
Current Phase
Average samples 4

Shows how many historical phase samples this group can replay against.

Phase Review
15/30D 7.5% / 25.0%

Shows how often targets were reached in shorter windows, a read on near-term efficiency.

Boundary Review
60D 54.7% · avg 36.7 days

Combines 60D reach rate and average days to target, a read on completion speed.

TickerNameReview SamplesHit RateAvg DaysL4 15DL4 30DL4 60DStabilityBoundary 20Boundary 60
QQEWFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equ…560.0%21.30.0%60.0%60.0%moderate35.831.1
QQQInvesco QQQ Trust366.7%55.00.0%0.0%66.7%moderate31.331.2
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETF333.3%50.00.0%0.0%33.3%moderate31.530.4
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF475.0%30.725.0%50.0%75.0%moderate38.734.2
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology…333.3%33.00.0%0.0%33.3%moderate15.218.4
QQQEDirexion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighte…560.0%30.020.0%40.0%60.0%moderate34.330.2

14Boundary Position Table

Compare close with L2/L3/L4 and read the current boundary zone.
TickerNameCloseL2L3L4Position
QQEWFirst Trust Nasdaq-100 Select Equ…161.69163.67165.47169.15L1-L2
QQQInvesco QQQ Trust709.24713.42718.61731.58L2-L3
QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETF292.02293.77295.89301.20L2-L3
QQQJInvesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF44.8945.5546.1847.60L1-L2
QTECFirst Trust NASDAQ-100-Technology…305.86313.55320.99337.85L1-L2
QQQEDirexion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighte…119.88121.44122.69125.52L1-L2

15Research Caliber

Grouping source, comparison order and interpretation boundary.
Grouping Source

Members follow the same grouping used by the rotation radar, so this page is rebuilt as data updates.

Reading Order

Read group breadth and distribution first, then ETF lanes, boundary position and historical fit.

Interpretation Boundary

The page explains relative structure inside the group; it does not replace official disclosures or suitability checks.

Risk Note - Risk note: group strength changes quickly. Verify official disclosures, liquidity and suitability independently.